GUEST SPEAKER

Latin America, running out of excuses……

Each month we will ask a friend to write an article to be included in this section. The subject matter will depend on the Guest Speak, and his area of expertise, ranging from plitics to business, finance, etc. This month, being the first number of the newsletter our Managing Partner, Santiago Umaschi, is writing this section.

 

In the 60’s and 70’s one of the main reasons used to explain why South American countries where considered under developed, and dependent on Europe and the US for technology was that they were too far away, and that transportation costs hurt their chances.

In fact today, Asia has proven that distance is not really a factor.

The constant military interruptions to governments and years of dictatorships were also blamed for their downfall.

Now, most of Latin America has had democracy for more than a decade….

Big ineffective governments with their noses everywhere, from phone companies, to airlines also became “the reason”, yet in the 90’s most governments privatized left and right.

Off course, let’s not forget huge budgetary deficits as the “source of evil”, but for a few years now, most Latin American countries have a sound fiscal policy.

We could go on and on with the list of “reasons”: inflexible labor markets, difficulties for foreign investments, tough bankruptcy laws, world conspiracies to keep the price of commodities low, and the list could continue. And still, in most cases those reasons no longer exist today.

Yet, Latin America, in most cases has higher unemployment than 30 years ago, higher poverty rates, life expectancy almost unchanged and worst wealth distribution indexes.

So why is it? Why can’t Latin America enter the ranks of developed countries, like some other countries that have started at similar points of development did, or are well on their way?

Probably they need to look harder to themselves.

Governments needed to change, and in many cases they did, maybe not as much as needed, but they did adjust. Unions needed to adapt to new circumstances, and although some more change could help, they really have adapted.

But there is another sector in the economy that needed to change and leave the realm of the under developed, and that sector is the business sector. Not from a technology standpoint, but mainly from an “under developed” and “emerging” state of mind.

In most countries of Central and South America the scenario is similar, their companies  will not invest unless somebody assures them their return, many companies will, at the first sign of growth in the economy adjust on prices, and not on quantities via investments. Even if the country is far from full employment of its resources.

Some companies will quickly fire hundreds or thousands if they think that their profits will be a little lower, let’s not even talk about loosing money. Companies will hardly invest in research and development. Powerful firms that are content with the market share they hold, with no efforts made to growt even further.

Companies are “afraid” of even trying to get into the US market. They act as if it was impossible for new companies to break in the biggest market in the world. But reality says that there are countless of new successful companies appearing in it every year.

In some of those Latin American firms, the differences in compensations between the highest paid and the lowest paid employees of a company, dwarfs that of their European or US counterparts.

And the list could keep going.

In no way we are placing the blame only in the Latin American businessman / businesswoman, but they certainly do share it.

They should be the one taking RISKS, and looking to grow their companies. After all that is what should mean to be in business right?

And to prove our statement there are a handful of companies that behaved like most should have, and Latin America should be proud of their international success.

While the cement company that had a majority of the market shares in Argentina for over 50 years (most of them with a strong Argentina) failed at transforming itself into a real international player and was sold recently for U$D900M.

 

CEMEX built an empire based in Mexico but with major operations in the US worth over U$D6B.

Arcor became the largest producer of candy in the world.

Embraer almost put out of business the Canadian firm Bombardier, and today is the most widely jet used for short distances in the US.

A Uruguayan technology firm, Artech has been chosen to manage technology at HuNan WantWant Hospital, in China.

When companies are properly run and have real business cultures behind them, willing to take chances, willing to invest to grow and expand; they do well anywhere.

Nobody could fail to see that a strong middle class is essential for a strong and safe economy. If the countries fail to see themselves as capable of competing against anybody on any field, as long as it’s done properly and consistently Latin America will always be the “ever emerging region”.

There is a golden opportunity now, the international financial markets are helping, the price of commodities are helping, the changes to more market friendly legislations are still intact, governments have surpluses and the world is struggling for access to raw materials.

It’s time for the entrepreneurial leadership to step up to the plate, to realize that it is better to be the largest retail chain of a big country than that of a poor country, even if it means investing as to transform their countries by giving up some profits for some time.

Invest into salaries that will generate and re generate a middle class, invest in giving jobs even if they are not entirely necessary but will in turn create a larger consumer base. Invest into research and development, invest in expanding abroad and tackle international markets.

Off course companies have to be helped by governments in several ways: with tax breaks for those who REALLY invest, with assurances that rules will not be drastically changed in a matter of days.

Setting diplomatic missions that can work as sale offices. Currently most Latin American diplomatic offices are severely under funded. Sometimes they are staffed by people who have great intentions, but hardly speak English, or are not connected to the business world in theUS. Many of them are not the best suited for what their job should be, to sell and represent their countries of origin in any possible field, commercial, cultural or social.

Even though, there are some good examples to follow. Chile is, by any rate one of the best, they grew tremendously for many years, their poverty levels, although still high is shrinking non stop, most of their financial indicators are positive.

How they did it? Consistency. Could be adjustments to policy, but not re starting over every few years. Investing and focusing on exports, even if it meant forbidding the sale of some sea foods in the internal market. Transforming their diplomatic missions into more modern roles. Investing in their future.

South Korea in the other “coin of the world” could very well be another example, and it only takes a few minutes to watch the old sitcom MASH and see what that country was 40 years ago. There are many more, all over he world.

Companies, as well as countries should develop a strategy and follow through with it.

Most countries in Latin America have small economies, with a few companies setting the pace of the economies. It should not be that hard to put together the most important groups and have them figure a strategy, not to complain to the governments, but to invest in the country’s growth. Educational institutions should share in that long term planning of what those countries should be in 10-20 years and assist businesses.

Nothing will be achieved without the correct strategy.

But nothing is impossible with one.